Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-23 0.547905 0.627358 0.713459 0.813587 0.926718 1.050466 1.195974
2025-03-02 0.424338 0.531552 0.657546 0.816085 1.009768 1.238181 1.527444
2025-03-09 0.341914 0.465375 0.621670 0.832941 1.109824 1.458949 1.930958
2025-03-16 0.272428 0.400953 0.575391 0.827383 1.179627 1.651635 2.328547
2025-03-23 0.228297 0.361185 0.553463 0.848556 1.285774 1.904434 2.839389
2025-03-30 0.186662 0.316394 0.515850 0.839901 1.346825 2.101208 3.297557
2025-04-06 0.159221 0.287713 0.496639 0.854258 1.442011 2.357395 3.873190
2025-04-13 0.130850 0.251679 0.459124 0.832525 1.475915 2.522244 4.327137
2025-04-20 0.116039 0.236190 0.452834 0.860773 1.593878 2.832609 5.047635
2025-04-27 0.104407 0.224177 0.450315 0.894443 1.724366 3.177112 5.862105
2025-05-04 0.091667 0.207443 0.436122 0.904030 1.812070 3.456543 6.593710
2025-05-11 0.080053 0.190669 0.418916 0.904752 1.882363 3.711182 7.306559
2025-05-18 0.070014 0.175510 0.402867 0.906108 1.955512 3.982010 8.084707
2025-05-25 0.061305 0.161591 0.387098 0.905580 2.024690 4.252884 8.892633
2025-06-01 0.055093 0.152299 0.379833 0.921994 2.130556 4.606305 9.897824
2025-06-08 0.048149 0.139725 0.362985 0.914497 2.184380 4.860867 10.732190
2025-06-15 0.043922 0.133288 0.359450 0.936828 2.305976 5.266979 11.916618
2025-06-22 0.038509 0.122455 0.343322 0.926748 2.352888 5.519861 12.805000
2025-06-29 0.035018 0.116291 0.337942 0.942102 2.460557 5.914927 14.036695
2025-07-06 0.030287 0.105381 0.318207 0.918044 2.470773 6.094425 14.812665
2025-07-13 0.028269 0.102376 0.319425 0.948829 2.619357 6.602876 16.374630
2025-07-20 0.026628 0.100226 0.322689 0.985591 2.787449 7.172990 18.130342
2025-07-27 0.024281 0.095187 0.316740 0.996016 2.888846 7.594918 19.579300